Five political parties would enter Bulgaria’s parliament if elections were held in mid-February, while two others would come close to crossing the threshold, according to a monthly survey by the Myara sociological agency.
The poll showed the highest level of support, 33.3%, for a political formation linked to President Rumen Radev. The GERB-SDS coalition followed with 18.9%, while the reformist PP-DB alliance drew 12.7%.
The DPS-NN party was backed by 10.7% of respondents and the nationalist Vazrazhdane party by 6.8%, the survey found.
Several smaller parties hovered near the parliamentary entry threshold, including MECH with 3.9% support and the Bulgarian Socialist Party at 3.7%. Velichie received 2.3%, while There Is Such a People (ITN) and APS polled 2.1% and 1.9% respectively. Remaining respondents indicated support for other minor formations.
The agency estimated potential voter turnout at 51.5%, suggesting participation could exceed three million voters. About 1.5% of those intending to vote said they would choose the “None of the above” option.
Myara said the data represented a snapshot of public opinion rather than an election forecast, noting that fieldwork coincided with heightened public attention around the “Petrohan” controversy and may only partially reflect the impact of recent political developments, including leadership changes within the Socialist Party.
The survey was conducted face-to-face using tablets between Feb. 9 and Feb. 15 among 812 adult Bulgarian citizens. The maximum margin of error was plus or minus 3.5 percentage points at a 50% share, with 1% of the sample corresponding to roughly 54,000 people nationwide.